7500 Molly Pitcher Hwy, Lot #30 · Shippensburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$38,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the charm of this beautifully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home nestled in the serene MT Rock Mobile Home Park. Built in 2018, this ranch-style residence boasts an inviting open floor plan, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The spacious kitchen features an eat-in area, complemented by modern appliances including a dishwasher, electric oven, and refrigerator, ensuring culinary delights are just a step away. Natural light in the interior through skylight in Master Bath, enhancing the warmth of the carpeted living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of a main-floor laundry area and a luxurious walk-in shower in the bath. Step outside to your private deck and porch, ideal for morning coffee or evening gatherings, surrounded by side yard space for added tranquility. With a stone driveway accommodating two vehicles and a handy shed for storage, this home offers both comfort and functionality. Experience a lifestyle of ease and elegance in this delightful property, where every detail invites you to unwind and feel at home.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2018
- Listed 26 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 3.5% in Shippensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#741 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Shippensburg Area SD (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #335 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.68%
- DSCR
- 4.19
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $34,367
- Equity at exit
- $5,666
- IRR
- 75.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.73×
- Total profit
- $82,229
- Equity at exit
- $3,286
Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17257
- Home prices YoY
- -17.3%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,190 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,071/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $636
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,500
- Closing costs
- $1,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 1061-char remark
Show marketing remark (1061 chars)
Discover the charm of this beautifully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home nestled in the serene MT Rock Mobile Home Park. Built in 2018, this ranch-style residence boasts an inviting open floor plan, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The spacious kitchen features an eat-in area, complemented by modern appliances including a dishwasher, electric oven, and refrigerator, ensuring culinary delights are just a step away. Natural light in the interior through skylight in Master Bath, enhancing the warmth of the carpeted living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of a main-floor laundry area and a luxurious walk-in shower in the bath. Step outside to your private deck and porch, ideal for morning coffee or evening gatherings, surrounded by side yard space for added tranquility. With a stone driveway accommodating two vehicles and a handy shed for storage, this home offers both comfort and functionality. Experience a lifestyle of ease and elegance in this delightful property, where every detail invites you to unwind and feel at home.
-
2026-04-22$38,000 Active 1061-char remark
Show marketing remark (1061 chars)
Discover the charm of this beautifully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home nestled in the serene MT Rock Mobile Home Park. Built in 2018, this ranch-style residence boasts an inviting open floor plan, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The spacious kitchen features an eat-in area, complemented by modern appliances including a dishwasher, electric oven, and refrigerator, ensuring culinary delights are just a step away. Natural light in the interior through skylight in Master Bath, enhancing the warmth of the carpeted living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of a main-floor laundry area and a luxurious walk-in shower in the bath. Step outside to your private deck and porch, ideal for morning coffee or evening gatherings, surrounded by side yard space for added tranquility. With a stone driveway accommodating two vehicles and a handy shed for storage, this home offers both comfort and functionality. Experience a lifestyle of ease and elegance in this delightful property, where every detail invites you to unwind and feel at home.
-
2019-03-28soldstatus $51,900 Closed 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
This brand new home offers 4 year manufacturers warranty! Features 2 brms, 2 bath, kitchen w/ dining nook, laundry area, living room, and shed on rented lot in established Mt. Rock Manor. Many special features!
-
2019-01-29status Pending 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
This brand new home offers 4 year manufacturers warranty! Features 2 brms, 2 bath, kitchen w/ dining nook, laundry area, living room, and shed on rented lot in established Mt. Rock Manor. Many special features!
-
2018-06-07$51,900 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
This brand new home offers 4 year manufacturers warranty! Features 2 brms, 2 bath, kitchen w/ dining nook, laundry area, living room, and shed on rented lot in established Mt. Rock Manor. Many special features!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,129
- − Property taxes
- −$1,071
- − Insurance
- −$190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,142
- − Management
- −$1,142
- − Depreciation
- −$1,105
- Taxable income
- $7,498
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,800
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shippensburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,585
- Composite
- 35.42/100
- National rank
- #4938
- State rank
- #335 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shippensburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #741
- US rank
- #7436
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- City population
- 29,204
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,204
- Household income
- $71,181
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 855.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.12%
- Current HPI
- 297.1586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-26.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $38,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-28 Sold (MLS) $51,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-06-07 Listed $51,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,071 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…