3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,120 sqft ·
Built 2023
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,728/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$573
Net cashflow
$427/mo
Annual
$5,129/yr
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.33%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#432 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hazel Green Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #47 of 676 statewide, top 8%, 344 students, 80% FRL); North Laurel Middle School (math 48% / reading 59%, grade C+, #13 of 217 statewide, top 6%, 1,003 students, 64% FRL); North Laurel High School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #40 of 254 statewide, top 19%, 1,300 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 216% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.9% in East Bernstadt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible roof structure
Major: exterior
— No visible exterior structure
Major: flooring
— No visible flooring
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior walls
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible HVAC/mechanicals
Major: landscaping/curb appeal
— No visible landscaping/curb appeal
CashFlowRE · CFR-9XQEAZ81DKGNKH
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29