3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,062 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 228 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,036/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$382/mo
Annual
$4,582/yr
Cap rate
15.46%
Cash-on-cash
32.73%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,000 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
CUSD 4 (rural): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #429 of 620 in IL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9Z437C3YFR5PSQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29