2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,423/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$532/mo
Annual
$6,381/yr
Cap rate
9.48%
Cash-on-cash
11.40%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#408 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Normont Elementary (279 students, 98% FRL); Alexander Fleming Middle (1,085 students, 87% FRL); Nathaniel Narbonne Senior High (math 28% / reading 56%, grade F, #472 of 1,170 statewide, top 42%, 1,731 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 67% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $58k; list at $200k implies a 248% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.8% in West Carson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored
Moderate: interior walls
— Painted but shows wear
Moderate: flooring
— Appears worn
CashFlowRE · CFR-9ZDAHHEHVFRYD3
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29