4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,484 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$727
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,168
Net cashflow
$1,836/mo
Annual
$22,030/yr
Cap rate
12.61%
Cash-on-cash
22.54%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $918/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $344k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#210 in NY, #3,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D+, cost of living D.
Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cayuga Heights Elementary School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #675 of 2,108 statewide, top 35%, 303 students, 33% FRL); Boynton Middle School (math 36% / reading 64%, grade C, #261 of 729 statewide, top 36%, 526 students, 36% FRL); Ithaca Senior High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,341 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $109k; list at $349k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.3% in Ithaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,561/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 5169% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9ZF2BCAMCBQBX0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29