2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
992 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 213 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,184/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$-126/mo
Annual
$-1,512/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.19%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Currituck County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #67 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Knotts Island Elementary (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 108 students, 27% FRL); Moyock Middle (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 621 students, 24% FRL); Currituck County High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,057 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 429 units permitted in Currituck County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Currituck County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A00WV7FABBS5AB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29