3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Contingency - Finance and Inspections
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,266/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$686
Net cashflow
$1,090/mo
Annual
$13,077/yr
Cap rate
11.74%
Cash-on-cash
19.47%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#672 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Triad Local (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #255 of 656 in OH (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $240k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $3,266/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A0F10G9QZ0T2FB
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29