20 Dooley Dr · North Lewisburg, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell! Very spacious ranch style home features three bedrooms with one bathroom, and potential for a fourth bedroom. Extra wide driveway leads to a two and a half car garage that connects to the recreation room. Large shed in backyard for extra storage or lawn mower for your nearly 12,000 square foot lot.
Key facts
- New dishwasher
- New washer
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Supplied water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1974
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Residential lot (130 x 96)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (12.7 x 11.7); Bedroom 2 (9.11 x 10.2); Bedroom 3 (9.0 x 10.2)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#672 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Triad Local (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #255 of 656 in OH (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,266/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Champaign County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $240k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.47%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,100
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Abbey Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (-4%) | 8mo | $208,500 | $168 | 69 |
| 91 Abbey Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (-4%) | 12mo | $257,000 | $207 | 69 |
| 15 Weldon Ln | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,404 (+8%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $157 | 66 |
| 8666 Mingo Lewisburg Rd | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,279 (-2%) | 20mo | $140,000 | $109 | 52 |
| 223 Winder St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+8%) | 6mo | $206,000 | $147 | 49 |
| 328 Lincoln Pl | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+13%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $196 | 47 |
| 701 W Mill St #50 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-12%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $22 | 43 |
| 88 North St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (+6%) | 23mo | $200,500 | $145 | 38 |
| 306 Maple St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,113 (-14%) | 22mo | $194,306 | $175 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $30,477
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $115,691
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43060
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,266 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,593/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$686
- Net cashflow
- $1,090
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,226 | -5% $1,158 | +0% $1,090 | +5% $1,022 | +10% $954 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $832 | -5% $961 | +0% $1,090 | +5% $1,219 | +10% $1,348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,211 | -0.5pp $1,151 | base $1,090 | +0.5pp $1,028 | +1.0pp $964 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $239,900 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $239,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $249,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $249,900 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$249,900 Active
-
2022-10-07soldstatus $135,000 Closed 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Priced to sell! Very spacious ranch style home features three bedrooms with one bathroom, and potential for a fourth bedroom. Extra wide driveway leads to a two and a half car garage that connects to the recreation room. Large shed in backyard for extra storage or lawn mower for your nearly 12,000 square foot lot.
-
2022-09-06status Pending 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Priced to sell! Very spacious ranch style home features three bedrooms with one bathroom, and potential for a fourth bedroom. Extra wide driveway leads to a two and a half car garage that connects to the recreation room. Large shed in backyard for extra storage or lawn mower for your nearly 12,000 square foot lot.
-
2022-08-30$125,000 Active 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Priced to sell! Very spacious ranch style home features three bedrooms with one bathroom, and potential for a fourth bedroom. Extra wide driveway leads to a two and a half car garage that connects to the recreation room. Large shed in backyard for extra storage or lawn mower for your nearly 12,000 square foot lot.
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2012-11-19soldstatus $96,938
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2012-06-13soldstatus $45,000
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2012-06-07soldstatus $45,000
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2011-10-04$45,000
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2011-10-04$45,000
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2009-05-29soldstatus $113,900
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2009-05-26soldstatus $113,900
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2009-05-26soldstatus $113,900
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2009-02-11$115,425
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2009-02-03$115,425
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2002-11-26soldstatus $100,500
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2002-11-20soldstatus $101,500
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2002-05-06$101,999
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,593 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,668 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,075/yr (+$90/mo · 67.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$1,593
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,136
- − Management
- −$3,136
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable income
- $9,716
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,332
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,745/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Triad Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904620
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,419
- Composite
- 52.91/100
- National rank
- #1531
- State rank
- #255 of 656 in OH
Livability — North Lewisburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #672
- US rank
- #11848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Lewisburg, OH
- County
- Champaign · 37,359 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,385
- Household income
- $61,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.0
Population outlook (Champaign County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,480 people
- By 2030
- 34,790 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 31,082 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 27,217 · -25.4%
- By 2075
- 19,156 · -47.5%
- By 2100
- 12,690 · -65.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Champaign
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.1% · R 74.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.71%
- Current HPI
- 266.8896
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+145.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $249,900 WRIST
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $135,000 WRIST
- 2022-09-06 Pending — WRIST
- 2022-08-30 Listed $125,000 WRIST
- 2012-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $96,938 Public Records
- 2012-06-13 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CBRMLS
- 2012-06-07 Sold (MLS) $45,000 WRIST
- 2011-10-04 Listed $45,000 WRIST
- 2011-10-04 Listed $45,000 CBRMLS
- 2009-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $113,900 Public Records
- 2009-05-26 Sold (MLS) $113,900 WRIST
- 2009-05-26 Sold (MLS) $113,900 CBRMLS
- 2009-02-11 Listed $115,425 CBRMLS
- 2009-02-03 Listed $115,425 WRIST
- 2002-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $100,500 Public Records
- 2002-11-20 Sold (MLS) $101,500 CBRMLS
- 2002-05-06 Listed $101,999 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,593 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…