3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,760 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 459 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,029/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$431/mo
Annual
$5,176/yr
Cap rate
14.92%
Cash-on-cash
30.81%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 459 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Ashdown School District (town): math 29% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 238 in AR (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ashdown Elementary School (math 38% / reading 26%, grade F, #278 of 454 statewide, top 64%, 627 students, 70% FRL); Ashdown Junior High School (math 26% / reading 21%, grade F, #173 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 283 students, 71% FRL); Ashdown High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #187 of 292 statewide, top 70%, 398 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Little River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Little River County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $49k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 459 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A0K6J93HRWWZTB
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29