3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,419/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$750
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$199/mo
Annual
$2,383/yr
Cap rate
15.86%
Cash-on-cash
34.18%
DSCR
2.52
1% rule
5.70%
Cash to close
$6,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,075 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Spring Grove Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #98 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A19Y07FN9EYXTS
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29