2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,540
Tax + insurance
−$1,125
HOA
−$2,080
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,685
Net cashflow
$-406/mo
Annual
$-4,877/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.58%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$189,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $675k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-406 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $616k (8.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $675k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($634k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $616k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $43k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,023/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($145k/yr) (locally 2470% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-A2A4C2DZ32WNEP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29