4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,130 sqft ·
Built 2017
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,435/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,571
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$36
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-63/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.08%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$83,860
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-63/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (0.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (18.7% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#88 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Greenfield-Central Community Schools (other): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #83 of 301 in IN (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Weston Elementary School (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 327 students, 44% FRL); Greenfield Central Junior High Sch (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #120 of 330 statewide, top 37%, 675 students, 45% FRL); Greenfield-Central High School (math 37% / reading 65%, grade D+, #115 of 369 statewide, top 31%, 1,462 students, 35% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 481 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,091 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hancock County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $178k; list at $300k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Greenfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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