2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,633/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$354
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$823/mo
Annual
$9,881/yr
Cap rate
20.93%
Cash-on-cash
52.28%
DSCR
3.33
1% rule
2.42%
Cash to close
$18,900
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $823 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#262 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
North Kitsap School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #54 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Suquamish Elementary School (328 students, 52% FRL); Kingston Middle School (491 students, 49% FRL); Kingston High School (610 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 26% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 373 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $68k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 2.1% in Suquamish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A2WCT65GEM3JCP
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29