6 bd · 3.9 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,316/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,246
Tax + insurance
−$1,032
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,326
Net cashflow
$712/mo
Annual
$8,542/yr
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.93%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$173,320
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $619k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $712 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $237/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $619k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($600k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $600k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#384 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Plainfield Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #588 of 612 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Plainfield High School (1,925 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,749 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (1,421 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $173k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.4% in Plainfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A2WERP1YTBC76K
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29