3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,326 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,318/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$159/mo
Annual
$1,908/yr
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.87%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (5.8% below list).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#210 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bates Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #398 of 454 statewide, top 89%, 417 students, 98% FRL); Fuller Middle School (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #181 of 201 statewide, top 90%, 440 students, 100% FRL); Wilbur D. Mills High School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #271 of 292 statewide, top 93%, 640 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 48% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pulaski County Spec. School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.3% in East End — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A3A7E79Q6GVYQV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29