4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,373 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,445/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$983
Tax + insurance
−$272
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$-114/mo
Annual
$-1,368/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.61%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$52,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#313 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
Alden-Conger Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #174 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alden-Conger Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 221 students, 41% FRL); Alden-Conger Secondary (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #222 of 471 statewide, top 50%, 226 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-A3ZWD5DGD84ZMZ
· Data 15 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29