245 N Broadway · Alden, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$187,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The garage guy's dream come true! 1152 sq ft of garage space for cars, boats, ATVs, other toys, and even parties. The 4-bedroom home has a spacious addition of a family room with a gas fireplace and a nice dining space. Nice bathroom, ceramic walk-in shower and convenient main floor laundry. 2 bedrooms on the main level and 2 upstairs. The lot has alley access and is just a short distance from the lake--a popular walking path. The town offers a fitness center just a short walk from the property. Enjoy spring and summer in this great home--call for your appointment today!
Key facts
- Alley access
- Gas fireplace
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (10.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (22.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#313 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
- Alden-Conger Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #174 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alden-Conger Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 221 students, 41% FRL); Alden-Conger Secondary (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #222 of 471 statewide, top 50%, 226 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.61%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $94,855
- Equity at exit
- $168,915
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.43×
- Total profit
- $285,036
- Equity at exit
- $364,271
Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56009
- Home prices YoY
- 14.3%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,445 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$983
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $-114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-8 | -5% $-61 | +0% $-114 | +5% $-167 | +10% $-220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-228 | -5% $-171 | +0% $-114 | +5% $-57 | +10% $0 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-20 | -0.5pp $-66 | base $-114 | +0.5pp $-163 | +1.0pp $-212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,875
- Closing costs
- $5,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $187,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $187,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $187,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $187,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $187,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $187,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $187,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $187,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $187,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $187,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $187,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $187,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $187,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $187,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $187,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $187,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $187,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $187,500 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
The garage guy's dream come true! 1152 sq ft of garage space for cars, boats, ATVs, other toys, and even parties. The 4-bedroom home has a spacious addition of a family room with a gas fireplace and a nice dining space. Nice bathroom, ceramic walk-in shower and convenient main floor laundry. 2 bedrooms on the main level and 2 upstairs. The lot has alley access and is just a short distance from the lake--a popular walking path. The town offers a fitness center just a short walk from the property. Enjoy spring and summer in this great home--call for your appointment today!
-
2026-02-14$192,900 Active 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
The garage guy's dream come true! 1152 sq ft of garage space for cars, boats, ATVs, other toys, and even parties. The 4-bedroom home has a spacious addition of a family room with a gas fireplace and a nice dining space. Nice bathroom, ceramic walk-in shower and convenient main floor laundry. 2 bedrooms on the main level and 2 upstairs. The lot has alley access and is just a short distance from the lake--a popular walking path. The town offers a fitness center just a short walk from the property. Enjoy spring and summer in this great home--call for your appointment today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,330 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,330 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,503
- − Property taxes
- −$2,330
- − Insurance
- −$938
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,387
- − Management
- −$1,387
- − Depreciation
- −$5,455
- Taxable loss
- −$4,659
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $-250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alden-Conger Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703030
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,513
- Composite
- 39.13/100
- National rank
- #4036
- State rank
- #174 of 301 in MN
Livability — Alden
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #6998
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alden, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,539
Population outlook (Freeborn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,680 people
- By 2030
- 29,038 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 27,650 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 26,387 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 25,224 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 23,842 · -19.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 26% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Freeborn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.7% · R 60.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.5pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+17.4 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.48%
- Current HPI
- 219.11
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-2.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $187,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Listed $192,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,330 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…