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245 N Broadway
D+ Composite 45.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$187,500

245 N Broadway · Alden, MN 56009
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,373 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1948 10,062 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The garage guy's dream come true! 1152 sq ft of garage space for cars, boats, ATVs, other toys, and even parties. The 4-bedroom home has a spacious addition of a family room with a gas fireplace and a nice dining space. Nice bathroom, ceramic walk-in shower and convenient main floor laundry. 2 bedrooms on the main level and 2 upstairs. The lot has alley access and is just a short distance from the lake--a popular walking path. The town offers a fitness center just a short walk from the property. Enjoy spring and summer in this great home--call for your appointment today!

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Gas fireplace
  • Main floor laundry

Tags

GARAGE SPACEFAMILY ROOMGAS FIREPLACECERAMIC WALK-IN SHOWERMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYALLEY ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#313 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
  • Alden-Conger Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #174 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alden-Conger Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 221 students, 41% FRL); Alden-Conger Secondary (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #222 of 471 statewide, top 50%, 226 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,504 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.61%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$94,855
Equity at exit
$168,915
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.43×
Total profit
$285,036
Equity at exit
$364,271

Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56009

Home prices YoY
14.3%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,445 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$983
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,330/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$-114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,589
Max offer price $167,365
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-8 -5% $-61 +0% $-114 +5% $-167 +10% $-220
Rent -10% $-228 -5% $-171 +0% $-114 +5% $-57 +10% $0
Rate -1.0pp $-20 -0.5pp $-66 base $-114 +0.5pp $-163 +1.0pp $-212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,875
Closing costs
$5,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $187,500 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $187,500 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $187,500 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $187,500 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $187,500 Active 121 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $187,500 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $187,500 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $187,500 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,500 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $187,500 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $187,500 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $187,500 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $187,500 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $187,500 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,500 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,500 Active 105 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,500 Active 104 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    price $187,500 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    The garage guy's dream come true! 1152 sq ft of garage space for cars, boats, ATVs, other toys, and even parties. The 4-bedroom home has a spacious addition of a family room with a gas fireplace and a nice dining space. Nice bathroom, ceramic walk-in shower and convenient main floor laundry. 2 bedrooms on the main level and 2 upstairs. The lot has alley access and is just a short distance from the lake--a popular walking path. The town offers a fitness center just a short walk from the property. Enjoy spring and summer in this great home--call for your appointment today!

  19. 2026-02-14
    listed $192,900 Active 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    The garage guy's dream come true! 1152 sq ft of garage space for cars, boats, ATVs, other toys, and even parties. The 4-bedroom home has a spacious addition of a family room with a gas fireplace and a nice dining space. Nice bathroom, ceramic walk-in shower and convenient main floor laundry. 2 bedrooms on the main level and 2 upstairs. The lot has alley access and is just a short distance from the lake--a popular walking path. The town offers a fitness center just a short walk from the property. Enjoy spring and summer in this great home--call for your appointment today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,330 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,330 · $194/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,340
− Mortgage interest
−$10,503
− Property taxes
−$2,330
− Insurance
−$938
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,387
− Management
−$1,387
− Depreciation
−$5,455
Taxable loss
−$4,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,118
After-tax cash flow
$-250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alden-Conger Public School District
NCES district ID
2703030
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$55,513
Composite
39.13/100
National rank
#4036
State rank
#174 of 301 in MN

Livability — Alden

Score
71/100
State rank
#313
US rank
#6998

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alden, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,539

Population outlook (Freeborn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,680 people
By 2030
29,038 · -2.2%
By 2040
27,650 · -6.8%
By 2050
26,387 · -11.1%
By 2075
25,224 · -15.0%
By 2100
23,842 · -19.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 26% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Freeborn

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.7% · R 60.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-38.5pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+17.4 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.48%
Current HPI
219.11
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $187,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Listed $192,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,330 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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