2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
954 sqft ·
Built 1921
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$878/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$482/mo
Annual
$5,781/yr
Cap rate
25.56%
Cash-on-cash
68.83%
DSCR
4.06
1% rule
2.93%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $900 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 40/100 on livability (#663 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Smoky Valley (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #58 of 169 in KS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Soderstrom Elem (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #107 of 684 statewide, top 18%, 321 students, 35% FRL); Smoky Valley Middle School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #64 of 219 statewide, top 32%, 246 students, 37% FRL); Smoky Valley High (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 253 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 19% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 293 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saline County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A40EG14M168NRV
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29