148 N Main St · Falun, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1921
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Shed(s), outbuilding, garage(s) and additional storage on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Partially finished basement; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 40/100 on livability (#663 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Smoky Valley (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #58 of 169 in KS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Soderstrom Elem (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #107 of 684 statewide, top 18%, 321 students, 35% FRL); Smoky Valley Middle School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #64 of 219 statewide, top 32%, 246 students, 37% FRL); Smoky Valley High (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 253 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 19% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 293 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $900 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Saline County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.83%
- DSCR
- 4.06
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $34,315
- Equity at exit
- $13,489
- IRR
- 73.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.43×
- Total profit
- $79,182
- Equity at exit
- $20,789
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67442
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $506/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $499 | -5% $490 | +0% $482 | +5% $473 | +10% $465 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $412 | -5% $447 | +0% $482 | +5% $516 | +10% $551 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $497 | -0.5pp $489 | base $482 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $466 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $30,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $30,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-18$30,000 Active
-
2026-04-20historical
-
2026-03-16status Active
-
2026-02-27status Pending
-
2026-01-18price $30,000
-
2026-01-18price $30,000
-
2025-11-18$44,500 Active
-
1995-06-01soldstatus $29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$506
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$843
- − Management
- −$843
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $5,643
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Smoky Valley
- NCES district ID
- 2000002
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,928
- Composite
- 30.27/100
- National rank
- #6284
- State rank
- #58 of 169 in KS
Livability — Falun
- Score
- 40/100
- State rank
- #663
- US rank
- #27284
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Falun, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 179
Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,099 people
- By 2030
- 54,446 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 52,572 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 50,362 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 45,522 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 40,059 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Two or more races 38% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Saline
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 64.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.3 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $30,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $30,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $30,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Listed $44,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $506 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…