3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,358 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,106/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$-105/mo
Annual
$-1,260/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.73%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (32.9% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#300 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Science Hill Independent (town): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 165 in KY (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Science Hill Elementary School (math 44% / reading 55%, grade D, #100 of 676 statewide, top 16%, 476 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 40% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $99k; list at $165k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Science Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A49E5D542BN991
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29