3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,552 sqft ·
Built 1901
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,669/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$284
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$117/mo
Annual
$1,401/yr
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.86%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (4.6% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cochran Primary Sch (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 508 students, 80% FRL); Williamsport Area Ms (math 25% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 512 statewide, top 74%, 712 students, 68% FRL); Williamsport Area Shs (math 75% / reading 10%, grade F, #226 of 437 statewide, top 52%, 1,479 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 55% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 30% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A5VVVJBCWCB59J
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29