3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,184 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,653/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$89/mo
Annual
$1,069/yr
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.91%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#108 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Sumner County (suburban): math 44% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #12 of 139 in TN (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Benny C. Bills Elementary School (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #704 of 952 statewide, top 74%, 713 students, 0% FRL); Gallatin Senior High School (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #172 of 332 statewide, top 52%, 1,659 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumner County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1006 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,748 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (124 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumner County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $200k implies a 1567% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.8% in Gallatin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A66N98CD589F6F
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29