3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 2014
· Manufactured
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,746/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$430
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$367
Net cashflow
$380/mo
Annual
$4,564/yr
Cap rate
11.37%
Cash-on-cash
18.13%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in VT, #4,619 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, employment B; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
Zoned schools: C. P. Smith School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #50 of 192 statewide, top 32%, 242 students, 37% FRL); Edmunds Middle School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade C, #8 of 26 statewide, top 32%, 365 students, 50% FRL); Burlington High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #8 of 48 statewide, top 15%, 987 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $90k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.4% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance, but not damaged.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated and need cleaning.
Minor: Exterior siding
— Some wear, but no major damage.
Minor: Landscaping
— Sparse and could be improved.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A76SAGA9WNQ263
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29