2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,669/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$119/mo
Annual
$1,427/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.55%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (16.5% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $167k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 34/100 on livability (#592 in VA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Surry County Public School District (rural): math 51% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #63 of 131 in VA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Surry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Surry County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $200k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A7FVEACS4TA61J
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29