2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,198 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Other
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,042/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,868/yr
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.97%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,099 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
Porta CUSD 202 (town): math 16% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #363 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A7Z9Z69TBS2AE0
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29