503 N Elm St · Tallula, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous 2 bed/ 1.5 ba Manufactured Home tucked in mature tree setting with a creek! Updated Home offers open floor plan, views out every window, fresh paint, bathroom remodels & split floor plan. Eat In Kitchen is full of newer WOW cabinets, plenty counter space & an island w/ wood top! Attached Liv Rm has newer carpet, huge pic window & space to entertain! Bedrooms are Good Size! Family Room opens to the spacious deck ready & views galore! Mudroom & 2.5 car garage w/ cedar storage & workshop area complete this home! Gotta See!!
Key facts
- Mature tree setting
- Farm sink
- Huge lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Not new construction; Shingle roof
- Construction: Built in 1989; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Replacement windows; Level and sloped yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level; Bedroom 1 ~11.9 x 13.3, Bedroom 2 ~11.7 x 13.2); Egress windows in bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank in family room, many main-level areas and bedrooms; Carpet in living room, dining room, and kitchen area; Other flooring in mudroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry (approx. 5 x 5); Mudroom (approx. 10 x 11.11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,099 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Porta CUSD 202 (town): math 16% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #363 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.97%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $20,921
- Equity at exit
- $31,419
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $58,199
- Equity at exit
- $45,443
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62688
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-02$79,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,720 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$74/yr (+$6/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,646
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $1,741
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$418
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Porta CUSD 202
- NCES district ID
- 1731410
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,294
- Composite
- 20.63/100
- National rank
- #8544
- State rank
- #363 of 620 in IL
Livability — Tallula
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1099
- US rank
- #20865
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallula, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 783
Population outlook (Menard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,894 people
- By 2030
- 11,493 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 10,675 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 9,861 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 8,334 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 6,799 · -42.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Menard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.6% · R 70.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.06%
- Current HPI
- 98.1121
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+97.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $79,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) $55,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-12 Listed $59,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2013-05-03 Sold (MLS) $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-05 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,646 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…