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503 N Elm St
B- Composite 69.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$79,000

503 N Elm St · Tallula, IL 62688
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,198 sqft · Other public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1989 0.81 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous 2 bed/ 1.5 ba Manufactured Home tucked in mature tree setting with a creek! Updated Home offers open floor plan, views out every window, fresh paint, bathroom remodels & split floor plan. Eat In Kitchen is full of newer WOW cabinets, plenty counter space & an island w/ wood top! Attached Liv Rm has newer carpet, huge pic window & space to entertain! Bedrooms are Good Size! Family Room opens to the spacious deck ready & views galore! Mudroom & 2.5 car garage w/ cedar storage & workshop area complete this home! Gotta See!!

Key facts

  • Mature tree setting
  • Farm sink
  • Huge lot

Tags

REMODELED MANUFACTURED HOMEHUGE LOTMATURE TREE SETTINGGUTTED BATHROOM REMODELFRESHLY PAINTED CABINETSFARM SINK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Not new construction; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Built in 1989; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Replacement windows; Level and sloped yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level; Bedroom 1 ~11.9 x 13.3, Bedroom 2 ~11.7 x 13.2); Egress windows in bedrooms
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank in family room, many main-level areas and bedrooms; Carpet in living room, dining room, and kitchen area; Other flooring in mudroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry (approx. 5 x 5); Mudroom (approx. 10 x 11.11)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,099 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Porta CUSD 202 (town): math 16% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #363 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $77,815 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.97%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$20,921
Equity at exit
$31,419
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$58,199
Equity at exit
$45,443

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62688

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $740
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 687-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $79,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,646 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,720 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$74/yr (+$6/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,507
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,646
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,001
− Management
−$1,001
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$1,741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$418
After-tax cash flow
$2,450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Porta CUSD 202
NCES district ID
1731410
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$57,294
Composite
20.63/100
National rank
#8544
State rank
#363 of 620 in IL

Livability — Tallula

Score
58/100
State rank
#1099
US rank
#20865

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tallula, IL
Population (ZIP)
783

Population outlook (Menard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,894 people
By 2030
11,493 · -3.4%
By 2040
10,675 · -10.2%
By 2050
9,861 · -17.1%
By 2075
8,334 · -29.9%
By 2100
6,799 · -42.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Menard

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.6% · R 70.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.06%
Current HPI
98.1121
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $79,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
  • 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) $55,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-12 Listed $59,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 2013-05-03 Sold (MLS) $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-05 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,646 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…