3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,023 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,012/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$213
Net cashflow
$627/mo
Annual
$7,522/yr
Cap rate
36.38%
Cash-on-cash
107.46%
DSCR
5.78
1% rule
4.05%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#218 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Cabool R-IV (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #275 of 324 in MO (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cabool Elem. (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 340 students, 98% FRL); Cabool Middle (math 21% / reading 40%, grade F, #283 of 391 statewide, top 74%, 222 students, 100% FRL); Cabool High (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #436 of 521 statewide, top 85%, 207 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 36.4% vs local median 2.6% in Cabool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A8WGMG7AMGZSS1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29