1010 Zimmerman Ave · Cabool, MO 65689

$25,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,023 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market

Built 1945 0.48 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +9.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Fixer Upper Opportunity! All the heavy lifting has already been completed--this home has been fully gutted and is ready for your vision and finishing touches. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and situated on 0.48 acres, this property provides a great canvas to create your dream home or investment.

Key facts

• 0.48 acre lot
• Built 1945
• Listed 19 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
• Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 36.4% vs local median 3.0% in Cabool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#218 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Cabool R-IV (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #275 of 324 in MO (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Cabool Elem. (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 340 students, 98% FRL); Cabool Middle (math 21% / reading 40%, grade F, #283 of 391 statewide, top 74%, 222 students, 100% FRL); Cabool High (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #436 of 521 statewide, top 85%, 207 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
• Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $24,625 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 36.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 107.46%
• DSCR: 5.78
• GRM: 2.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $116,622
• Comps found: 9

Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1010 Zimmerman Ave	0.00mi	3/1.0	1,023 (0%)	0mo	$25,000	$24	100
1028 Garst St	0.39mi	2/1.0 (-1)	960 (-6%)	1mo	$124,900	$130	65
1020 Sycamore St	0.53mi	3/1.0	1,088 (+6%)	1mo	$149,900	$138	64
720 Second St	0.62mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,008 (-2%)	6mo	$137,500	$136	59
813 Summit St	0.56mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,100 (+8%)	0mo	$125,000	$114	54
523 Pine St	0.73mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,000 (-2%)	4mo	$101,900	$102	54
718 Garst St	0.45mi	3/1.0	1,080 (+6%)	19mo	$114,900	$106	54
1002 Ozark Ave	0.49mi	2/2.0 (-1)	924 (-10%)	7mo	$137,500	$149	46
808 Cherry St	0.64mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,159 (+13%)	23mo	$115,900	$100	20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.52×
• Total profit: $52,634
• Equity at exit: $21,544

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 18.63×
• Total profit: $123,416
• Equity at exit: $45,457

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65689

• Home prices YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 63
• Price-to-rent: 2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,012 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$131
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$31 /mo · $375/yr
• Insurance: −$10
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$213
• Net cashflow: $627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219

Max offer price $25,000

Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,250
• Closing costs: $750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-21
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-16
   price $25,000
3. 2026-04-02
   listed $33,500 Active
4. 2012-08-28
   historical
5. 2012-03-09
   listed $9,702

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,146
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,400
• − Property taxes: −$375
• − Insurance: −$125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$972
• − Management: −$972
• − Depreciation: −$727
• Taxable income: $7,575
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,818
• After-tax cash flow: $5,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cabool R-IV
• NCES district ID: 2906430
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $32,537
• Composite: 24.88/100
• National rank: #7584
• State rank: #275 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cabool

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #10822

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cabool, MO
• City population: 4,273
• Population (ZIP): 4,273

Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,648 people
• By 2030: 23,981 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 22,840 · -7.3%
• By 2050: 21,832 · -11.4%
• By 2075: 19,481 · -21.0%
• By 2100: 16,634 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Texas

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 9.46%
• Current HPI: 232.9575
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+157.7% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-21 Pending — SOMO
• 2026-04-16 Price Changed $25,000 SOMO
• 2026-04-02 Listed $33,500 SOMO
• 2012-08-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2012-03-09 Listed $9,702 HARMLS