4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,976 sqft ·
Built 1860
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,720/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$1,027
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$571
Net cashflow
$-136/mo
Annual
$-1,630/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.43%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (7.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $222k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#570 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Donald P Sutherland School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 232 students, 33% FRL); Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 15% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $111k; list at $240k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A8YHBDCE376KMQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29