3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,655 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 337 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,191/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$63
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$546
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$880
Net cashflow
$2,615/mo
Annual
$31,386/yr
Cap rate
274.49%
Cash-on-cash
957.84%
DSCR
43.62
1% rule
34.92%
Cash to close
$3,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $12k).
It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $11k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#62 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Summit School District No. RE-1 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #35 of 86 in CO (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 614 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 308 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (123 in 5+ unit buildings).
Summit County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 274.5% vs local median 0.7% in Breckenridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29