3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 170 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$414/mo
Annual
$4,974/yr
Cap rate
22.93%
Cash-on-cash
59.41%
DSCR
3.64
1% rule
2.86%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Farwell Area Schools (town): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #388 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Farwell Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 329 students, 77% FRL); Farwell Middle School (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #355 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 300 students, 68% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 2.7% in Garfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor in kitchen
— Structural damage
Major: Missing cabinets in kitchen
— Aesthetic and functional deficiency
Major: Worn carpet in kitchen and bath
— Aesthetic and comfort issues
Major: Exposed subfloor in exterior
— Structural damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-A9E2F9ARAHTHSJ
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29