3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,520 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$941
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-162/mo
Annual
$-1,942/yr
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$50,221
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $23k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#241 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Independence Middle School (math 33% / reading 52%, grade D-, #13 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Independence High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #91 of 110 statewide, top 85%, 572 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A9KHGR51P7TZZR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29