2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-18/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-18/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (12.3% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#367 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Santa Fe R-X (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #302 of 535 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Santa Fe Elem. (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #481 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 162 students, 54% FRL); Santa Fe High (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #218 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 172 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lafayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A9VWDE2A6Z7WES
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29