2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1941
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$966/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$380
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$275/mo
Annual
$3,303/yr
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.27%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$20,300
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($966 rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#363 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kleptz Early Childhood Learning Center (833 students, 34% FRL); Northmont Middle School (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 777 students, 37% FRL); Northmont High School (math 37% / reading 64%, grade D+, #380 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 1,392 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $72k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.5% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AA7CNR1ZB4NY3B
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29