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7941 Irvington Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,500

7941 Irvington Ave · Clayton, OH 45415
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1941 7,684 sqft lot $92/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This delightful single-story residence offers two cozy bedrooms and a full bathroom, ensuring a comfortable living experience. With a living area spanning 792 square feet, the home provides an intimate yet functional space. The property sits on a lot of 0.18 acres, offering ample outdoor space for relaxation or potential gardening endeavors. Currently tenant occupied making this a great investment opportunity!

Key facts

  • Full bathroom
  • Outdoor space
  • 7,684 sq ft lot

Tags

SINGLE-STORY RESIDENCEFULL BATHROOMOUTDOOR SPACEINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $72,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$156,993) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($966 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.5% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#363 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Kleptz Early Childhood Learning Center (833 students, 34% FRL); Northmont Middle School (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 777 students, 37% FRL); Northmont High School (math 37% / reading 64%, grade D+, #380 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 1,392 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $72k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,150 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.27%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,993
List price
$72,500
Delta
-53.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7853 N Main St 0.25mi 2/1.0 891 (+12%) 21mo $150,000 $168 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$5,788
Equity at exit
$10,810
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$27,640
Equity at exit
$6,268

Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45415

Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$966 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$380
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $929/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $617
Max offer price $72,500
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $316 -5% $296 +0% $275 +5% $255 +10% $234
Rent -10% $199 -5% $237 +0% $275 +5% $313 +10% $352
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $294 base $275 +0.5pp $256 +1.0pp $237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,125
Closing costs
$2,175
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
42 Vinway Ct Unit 1 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 45d 1 0.17mi
7835 N Main St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 4d 1 0.21mi
148 Burgess Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 45d 1 1.10mi
132 Burgess Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,130 $1.26 4d 1 1.11mi
651 Rustic Oak Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 878 $1,015 $1.16 4d 1 1.16mi
4303 Drowfield Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 15d 1 1.25mi
5200 Greencroft Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0 1116 $1,200 $1.08 4d 1 1.35mi
5200 Greencroft Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,200 $1.08 22d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $72,500 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,500 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,500 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,500 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,500 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,500 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,500 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,500 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,500 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,500 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,500 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $72,500 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,500 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,500 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,500 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    price $72,500 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This delightful single-story residence offers two cozy bedrooms and a full bathroom, ensuring a comfortable living experience. With a living area spanning 792 square feet, the home provides an intimate yet functional space. The property sits on a lot of 0.18 acres, offering ample outdoor space for relaxation or potential gardening endeavors. Currently tenant occupied making this a great investment opportunity!

  17. 2026-05-18
    price $72,500 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This delightful single-story residence offers two cozy bedrooms and a full bathroom, ensuring a comfortable living experience. With a living area spanning 792 square feet, the home provides an intimate yet functional space. The property sits on a lot of 0.18 acres, offering ample outdoor space for relaxation or potential gardening endeavors. Currently tenant occupied making this a great investment opportunity!

  18. 2026-04-08
    listed $79,900 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This delightful single-story residence offers two cozy bedrooms and a full bathroom, ensuring a comfortable living experience. With a living area spanning 792 square feet, the home provides an intimate yet functional space. The property sits on a lot of 0.18 acres, offering ample outdoor space for relaxation or potential gardening endeavors. Currently tenant occupied making this a great investment opportunity!

  19. 2026-04-08
    listed $79,900 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This delightful single-story residence offers two cozy bedrooms and a full bathroom, ensuring a comfortable living experience. With a living area spanning 792 square feet, the home provides an intimate yet functional space. The property sits on a lot of 0.18 acres, offering ample outdoor space for relaxation or potential gardening endeavors. Currently tenant occupied making this a great investment opportunity!

  20. 1988-08-18
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$929 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,030 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$101/yr (+$8/mo · 10.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,590
− Mortgage interest
−$4,061
− Property taxes
−$929
− Insurance
−$362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$2,109
Taxable income
$2,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$546
After-tax cash flow
$2,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northmont City
NCES district ID
3904872
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,230
Composite
49.53/100
National rank
#1995
State rank
#318 of 656 in OH

Livability — Clayton

Score
72/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#5877

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clayton, OH
County
Montgomery · 506,435 people
City population
37,953
Metro
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Population (ZIP)
12,171
Household income
$78,864
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
9.7

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 42% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.39%
Current HPI
171.4122
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $72,500 WRIST
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $72,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $79,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $79,900 WRIST
  • 1988-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $929 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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