4728 Winding Trl

Greensboro, NC 27410

$364,700D

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,538 sqft · Built 2026 · Townhouse · Active · 66 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,650/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,913
• Tax + insurance: −$608
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$557
• Net cashflow: $-427/mo
• Annual: $-5,122/yr
• Cap rate: 4.89%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.02%
• DSCR: 0.78
• 1% rule: 0.73%
• Cash to close: $102,116

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $365k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-427 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (16.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (27.3% below list).
• It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $265k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
• Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Ep Pearce Elementary (math 80% / reading 79%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 667 students, 26% FRL); Kernodle Middle (math 62% / reading 60%, grade B+, #40 of 475 statewide, top 9%, 745 students, 40% FRL); Northwest Guilford High (math 72% / reading 64%, grade B, #137 of 535 statewide, top 26%, 1,991 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+28 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Guilford County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 673 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.9% in Greensboro — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.