3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,164/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$721
Tax + insurance
−$159
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$470/yr
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.22%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$38,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($470/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (15.3% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $116k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($951 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#173 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vinton Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #284 of 646 statewide, top 46%, 458 students, 72% FRL); Vinton Middle School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #137 of 218 statewide, top 63%, 214 students, 68% FRL); Vinton High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 301 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 52% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ABCVK1BBRHW4VT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29