None bd · None ba ·
4,082 sqft ·
Built 2026
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,634/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$973
Net cashflow
$-30/mo
Annual
$-364/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.25%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $525k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-364/yr) — negative. Per door: $-8/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $521k (0.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $463k (11.7% below list).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($478k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $463k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Daniel Ramirez El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 483 students, 96% FRL); Lyndon B Johnson Middle (math 15% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 1,003 students, 90% FRL); Psja North Early College H S (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #859 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 2,176 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 72% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 657 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ABDCJW5R8SG4J9
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29