None bd · None ba ·
4,082 sqft ·
Built 2026
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,735/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,858
Tax + insurance
−$908
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$994
Net cashflow
$-89/mo
Annual
$-1,065/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$152,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $545k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-22/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $532k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $474k (13.1% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $474k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Daniel Ramirez El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 483 students, 96% FRL); Psja North Early College H S (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #859 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 2,176 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 72% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.4% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,735/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ABDCJW5R8SG4J9
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29