3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$775/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$190
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$163
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,544/yr
Cap rate
14.65%
Cash-on-cash
29.84%
DSCR
2.33
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($775 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#320 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Dunkerton Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #201 of 289 in IA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29