213 Brookside Dr · Dunkerton, IA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great home on a large owned lot with park like feel. You will get 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and an open Kitchen/Dining/Living room. Master suite is very nice and has an updated full size shower. Low cost of living, this can be yours for cheaper than rent.
Key facts
- Large owned lot
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1995
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($775 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#320 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Dunkerton Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #201 of 289 in IA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $32k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.84%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,486
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -70.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $8,377
- Equity at exit
- $7,312
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $26,155
- Equity at exit
- $5,819
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50626
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$163
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 W Main St Unit 214A Dunkerton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $775 | $0.91 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $40,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-25$40,000 Active 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
This is a great home on a large owned lot with park like feel. You will get 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and an open Kitchen/Dining/Living room. Master suite is very nice and has an updated full size shower. Low cost of living, this can be yours for cheaper than rent.
-
2017-06-29soldstatus $31,900 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
This is a great home on a large owned lot with park like feel. You will get 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and an open Kitchen/Dining/Living room. Master suite is very nice and has an updated full size shower. Low cost of living, this can be yours for cheaper than rent.
-
2017-05-10$36,500 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
This is a great home on a large owned lot with park like feel. You will get 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and an open Kitchen/Dining/Living room. Master suite is very nice and has an updated full size shower. Low cost of living, this can be yours for cheaper than rent.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$744
- − Management
- −$744
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $2,122
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,035/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dunkerton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1909540
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,224
- Composite
- 54.93/100
- National rank
- #1308
- State rank
- #201 of 289 in IA
Livability — Dunkerton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #320
- US rank
- #6438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,478
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.25%
- Current HPI
- 200.3733
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+9.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $40,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-06-29 Sold (MLS) $31,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-05-10 Listed $36,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+22.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,288 · +206.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…