4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,906 sqft ·
Built 1918
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,697/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,578
Tax + insurance
−$1,870
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,456
Net cashflow
$-207/mo
Annual
$-2,487/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$404,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.45M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.41M (2.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.17M (19.1% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.40M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.17M (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $78k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $68k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warner Avenue Elementary (569 students, 8% FRL); Emerson Community Charter (492 students, 51% FRL, charter); University High School Charter (math 40% / reading 66%, grade C-, #285 of 1,170 statewide, top 25%, 1,338 students, 72% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 67% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.08M; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$125k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29