3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,496 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 361 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$273
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,864/yr
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.33%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Newell School District 09-2 (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #141 of 148 in SD (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AD15YHC8WB59ZY
· Data 21 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29