3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,490 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 276 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,795/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$128/mo
Annual
$1,536/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.19%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (9.8% below list).
It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#462 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Roland (town): math 18% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #182 of 270 in OK (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Roland Es (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 427 students, 0% FRL); Roland Ms (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #288 of 345 statewide, top 86%, 195 students, 0% FRL); Roland Hs (math 2% / reading 34%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 323 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Sequoyah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sequoyah County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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