2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,737 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,580/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$506
HOA
−$720
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$752
Net cashflow
$-338/mo
Annual
$-4,057/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.92%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$103,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-338 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (16.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $358k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $310k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Katherine Finchy Elementary (547 students, 92% FRL); Raymond Cree Middle (708 students, 98% FRL); Palm Springs High (math 30% / reading 51%, grade F, #508 of 1,170 statewide, top 44%, 1,584 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 73% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 660 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $103k; list at $370k implies a 259% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,580/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 1866% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29