2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
597 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 246 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$770/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$660
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$162
Net cashflow
$-262/mo
Annual
$-3,144/yr
Cap rate
3.80%
Cash-on-cash
-8.92%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$35,252
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $126k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $88k (30.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $77k (38.9% below list).
It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (38.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($870 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#370 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
El Dorado Springs R-II (town): math 25% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #279 of 324 in MO (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cedar County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 4.9% in El Dorado Springs — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AE9D845NNJQDY9
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29