6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,513/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,755
Tax + insurance
−$1,708
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,788
Net cashflow
$-738/mo
Annual
$-8,854/yr
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.22%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$307,300
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-738 ($-9k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-246/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $967k (11.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $851k (22.4% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $851k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#315 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Anona Elementary School (math 80% / reading 67%, grade A, #260 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 473 students, 45% FRL); Seminole Middle School (math 55% / reading 53%, grade B-, #196 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 824 students, 49% FRL); Richard O Jacobson Technical High School At Seminole (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 578 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $550k; list at $1.10M implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$71k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 1.1% in Indian Rocks Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,513/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 130% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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