5831 Sun Valley Blvd

Sun Valley, NV 89433

$199,900A-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,052 sqft · Built 1978 · Manufactured · Active · 2 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,700/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax + insurance: −$127
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$567
• Net cashflow: $957/mo
• Annual: $11,487/yr
• Cap rate: 12.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.52%
• DSCR: 1.91
• 1% rule: 1.35%
• Cash to close: $55,972

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $957 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#72 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Esther Bennett Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #311 of 402 statewide, top 82%, 538 students, 100% FRL); Desert Skies Middle School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #92 of 109 statewide, top 84%, 978 students, 100% FRL); Procter R. Hug High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #114 of 131 statewide, top 88%, 2,331 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 42% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Washoe County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $142k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.7% in Sun Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.