3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,007 sqft ·
Built 1953
· Other
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,123/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-241/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-241/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (25.1% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#59 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
Socorro Consolidated Schools (town): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #76 of 95 in NM (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: R. Sarracino Middle (254 students, 97% FRL); Socorro High (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #51 of 110 statewide, top 50%, 450 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 60% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Socorro Consolidated Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP.
Socorro County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Socorro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-AFTER57ZMFW2SG
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29