6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
1,220 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$495
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-333/mo
Annual
$-3,992/yr
Cap rate
4.08%
Cash-on-cash
-7.92%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-333 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (32.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AHSS9K1SMHJC30
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29