210 Sambourne St · Wilkes-Barre, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Listed 88 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-333 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (32.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.92%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,041
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- 0.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Academy St | 0.36mi | 6/2.0 | 1,150 (-6%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $74 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-3,735
- Equity at exit
- $76,284
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $22,158
- Equity at exit
- $114,066
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18701
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$420 /mo · $5,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $-333
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279 Hazle St Wilkes Barre, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $180,000 Pending 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2026-02-28status Active
-
2025-11-16historical
-
2025-09-29$180,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,037 · $420/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,037 · $420/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$5,037
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$7,144
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,714
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,420
- Composite
- 21.22/100
- National rank
- #8409
- State rank
- #469 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wilkes-Barre
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilkes-Barre, PA
- City population
- 73,981
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,926
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.54%
- Current HPI
- 260.3821
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-05-05 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-03-11 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-02-28 Relisted — LCAR
- 2025-11-16 Delisted — LCAR
- 2025-09-29 Listed $180,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+20.4%/yrLatest (2026): $5,037 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…